Brian M wrote:If new supplies of rosewood will not be coming into the country (whichever country you're concerned with), does anyone have an idea of how long the existing stocks would last, especially of Indian rosewood since it's the most commonly used? Keeping in mind the mass-market, especially steel-string, factories?
Have I misunderstood?
I thought the CITES 2 listing for Rosewoods would mean that timber merchants and luthier suppliers can export and import Rosewood timber provided they have permits to do so. And to get those requires them to show that the timber came from legally cut, sustainable sources. The bureaucracy will cause some delays and some additional expense and the volume of exports and imports of Rosewood timber for guitars will probably fall somewhat as illegally sourced material become less available. And no doubt this will drive up the price of various Rosewoods. But it wasn't intended to completely stop the trade (that's CITES 1) but instead to regulate it.
Rosewoods should still be available to luthiers and manufacturers. The big concerns have staffing and economies of scale when dealing with the bureaucracy. The volume available and the variety may reduce but I don't expect that it will be decimated. Much Rosewood for guitars is grown on plantations.
The additional hassles and costs for luthiers and guitar dealers will be a pain, not least if they want to export to a customer. Likewise for an owner wishing to sell secondhand across a national border. Again, the larger dealers will have staff and economies of scale to help but perhaps some vendors will not think it worth the trouble and will restrict sales to within their own country.
Yes, luthiers and manufacturers may well turn in part to other tonewoods for backs and sides. But probably only in part because Rosewoods should still be available.
Or have I misunderstood?